Attention all forecasters! The Good Judgment Project may be looking for you!
“The Good Judgment Project has decided to enroll new forecasters mid-season, which is a first for us.
Please refer interested parties to our home page at www.goodjudgmentproject.com
We expect to begin processing new registrations after the Thanksgiving break, so time is of the essence if your friends and colleagues wish to join for the remainder of Season 3. The window for signing up new Season 3 forecasters will remain open into December, however, and our registration site will remain active thereafter for potential Season 4 forecasters.”
The project takes crowd sourcing to a whole new level by teaming up forecasters and turning forecasting into a competition. Good luck to all who apply!
Jim Breaux, current UH Foresight student and APF Student Recognition award winner, passed along a link to his first published futures work in the Manoa Fried Journal, “Black Net“. It’s an incasting exercise and scenario built around a dystopic future where class wars lead to anarchy and the desentigration of our technology supply chain, and only major corporations with paramilitary might and gated communities with cooperative citizenry are able to function.
Go read Jim’s scenario centered on the protagonist Cinco, an older teenager and repair guy for his gated community, and check out some of the headlines for that future.
The peice may be a few years old, but it’s always good to see how we begin learning and applying foresight.
Brought to you by the APF, this Wednesday November 20th 4-6 pm EST is Millennials by Millennials, a digital campfire focusing on, what else, Millennials, the generation born roughly between the early 1980s to the early 2000s. Houston Foresight’s own Emily Empel (grad program 2012) will be co-hosting with Jason Swanson (current student), who will also be a speaker along with current student Katie King (nee Bishop).
From the ProFutures blog:
Read any blog, magazine or Tweet and there’s no shortage of commentary on Millennials. Everyone wants to own an insight to change our generational exchange. Entire books focus on how to motivate Millennials at work. Message boards provide tips for parents hoping to secure employment (and housing) for their college grad. These headlines and stories are focused on the near-term. But what happens when we begin dig deeper than headlines? What are the Millennials doing to create the future? What stories are the Millennials telling about themselves?
Stories can change the way we think, relate, or act- subsequently shifting our collective future. On Wednesday, November 20th the Association of Professional Futurists (APF) is hosting a digital campfire on Millennials by Millennials (MbyM). The APF will livestream ten minute experience jolts shared by Millennials. Anyone is welcome to join. We’ve structured MbyM as part story sharing, part sensemaking session.
You’ll first hear how Millennials are shaping the future. Our presenters will share their insights, research, and personal stories in an attempt to cut through the noise. We’ll then invite you to join our presenters (and the Twitterverse) to find common themes, ask bold questions, and share stories.
If you’re interested in joining, please register here. We also love buzz. Highlight the session via your blog or on Twitter #MbyM. Thanks!
Picked up the latest copy of The Futurist? Maybe you’ve see Rob Bencini’s (certificate grad ’10) latest article, “The End of Public Promise? Government and the Pension Deficit Disorder.”
In it, Rob explains exactly how generous public employee retirement benefits are devouring government budgets, and what will happen if nothing is done. One of the starkest examples is the Texas Employees Retirement System, which is supposed to pay out $133 billion between now and 2045, but which currently has only $11 billion. Check out the article and some of the shocking budget figures here.
You may remember a blog post awhile back about iG interviewing Dr. Bishop for the Brazilian workshop Strategies in Times of Uncertainty. Well now we’ve got links to the workshop held in Curitiba, Brazil.
And let me tell you, they went all out filming these workshops! Don’t be intimidated by the Portuguese. Both meetings begin with speakers introducing Dr. Bishop in Portuguese, and then Dr. Bishop gets rolling.
Congratulations to our own Heather Schlegel! As of November 1st, she’s raised $37,235, surpassing her original Kickstarter goal of $35,000 for the Future of Money TV series (here’s the original post about the series).
I asked Heather what she had to say about this amazing accomplishment.
“It was an amazing wild, white knuckle ride. This was the hardest thing I have ever attempted (so far) and I could not have done this without each and every person who backed the project, wrote about it, tweeted and otherwise helped get the word out. I am looking forward to an amazing collaboration with my 302 backers to make the Future of Money TV series awesome.
Thanks to everyone, we have accomplished the first milestone of the project and have completed the beginning!”
Bravo, and what an exciting achievement for the futures community!
I feel compelled to share what I feel may be the most useful information I’ve come across on how futurists can more effectively communicate with the public. An added bonus is that comes from one of our alums, Simeon Spearman.
He’s produced a series of three blog posts for the APF Emerging Fellows program (another shout out due here to alum Terry Collins for her masterful work in designing and managing this amazing program).
Part 1 frames the topic. He talks about Fast Company’s Futurist Forum. He makes an extremely important point: “Part of the value that futurists can add to public discussions about the future is as simple as educating the public more effectively on the processes behind practicing strategic foresight, rather than merely teaching people about the future.”
Part 2 begins exploring “contagious” futures. Here he introduces us to the excellent work of Jonah Berger, author of Contagious, and his STEPPS model to explain how ideas spread. It’s a model I think we’ll all find useful.
Part 3 explores creating “contagious” futures work. IMHO, it may be the masterpiece of the three. He shares his thoughts on the importance of writing memorable or shareable headlines and then recounts his experience in producing 27 (not a typo) versions of his particular headline to highlight just how important it is to “Frame Futures Products for Shareability.” There’s some serendipity at play here, as last night in Alternative Perspectives class, we wrestled with this very topic with our guest speaker, Hope Katz-Gibbs, of BeInkandescent, a public relations firm and a former colleague of mine who helps futurists and foresight firms promote their offerings.
It matters, folks, it really matters, and Simeon has given us some invaluable insight on why and “how to.” Andy Hines
From Rachel -
“I’m going to be speaking on the future of music as medicine in light of an onslaught of new research which reveals that active music making can do everything from help rewire damaged portions of the brain to increasing immunity and decreasing pain. I’ll be representing the company I co-founded, Musical Health Technologies, and focusing on our SingFit Prime singing programs for seniors which is based around our patented iTunes app.”
And check out a quick video about what her company does here.
Recently brought to this blogger’s attention, it seems that our own Hyeonju Son (Program Graduate 2003) was published in the August 2013 issue of Futures.
In “Images of the future in South Korea,” Son discusses both the pre-modern and modern images of the future of South Korea. The pre-modern era of the Joseon Dynasty contented with two main images – a Confucius utopia imagined by the ruling class, and a classless society thought up by the oppressed. In the modern era, Son identifies five alternative images of the future, including a scenario where Korea becomes a developed country based on economic modernization; two bleak views in which the aging population/demographic decline and environmental deterioration severely harm the country; a future where Korea is finally unified; a scenario in which Korea becomes an advanced information society; and finally a future based on radical feminism.
Then Son, using Dr. Dator’s alternative futures method, presents “Alternative future scenarios for South Korea in 2030.” In his continued growth scenario, “The Republic of Samsung,” business organizations continue to dominate Korean society with economic factors as the main driving force. “The Great Han flood in a Warmer Korea,” Son’s collapse scenario, describes a Korea beset by catastrophic weather events that lead to the collapse of the government and of society. The disciplined society scenario: “The Big Human Global Family Phenomenon” presents Korea, driven by socio-cultural factors, embracing a universal human community without borders. In “The Age of Biotechnology,” a transformational society scenario, Koreans’ quality of life, healthcare practices, and businesses have been radically altered by advancing biotechnology. Finally, in Son’s preferred future scenario, “Peaceful Unification as a Dream Come True,” both North and South Korea support a peaceful unification with gradual economic integration and institutionalized peaceful coexistence.
Pick up the Futures vol. 52 and check out the articles for yourself. Excellent job, Hyeonju Son!
All you APFers out there must have seen the latest issue of Compass featuring our own Kate Burgess-MacIntosh and Heather Schlegel, right? And for those of you not in the APF, no worries; this blog has exclusive, illegal access (just kidding) to the articles!
“The Role of Design in the Circular Economy” by Kate Burgess-MacIntosh focuses on the role of designers in our ongoing battle to reuse and recycle products. Check out her article and The Great Recovery Project she discusses.
Heather Schlegel reports on the Annual Professional Development Seminar in her article, “ProDev: Who are we?” Whiling away the day at the Catalyst Ranch in Chicago, participants held sessions concerning the future of the profession.